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Master, I answered your question in the post above.
In principle, if no other versions emerge based on the clues, and if the Heroist candidate isn't supported, then I'll have to execute Krabby...
I'm very, very afraid of two things:
1) The Mafia most likely knows with a 50% probability who our Happiness is (if we're lucky, they didn't ult on Revan before killing him, and then it's 33%), and if they guess correctly, we'll lose our last useful town role during the night.
2) Mafia connections between Master and Arandor, or that Alex is Mafia.
By the way, Alex, you haven't been around for a while. What's your take on things?