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WHY is the probability that there are fewer than three Mafia members higher than 30%?
Because that's not how Mafia players play, unless they are very new to the game. Even if there are some newbies on the team, the more experienced players can offer some advice. Now, calculate the probability that there are many newbies on the Mafia team.
WHY is the probability that there are fewer than three Mafia members there higher than 30%?
Sorry, I can't do math. I just know our Mafia. The probability could be 100%, it all depends on the composition of the players, because sometimes there are such Mafia members that it is even difficult to identify them because they don't do anything.
WHY is there definitely a Seer there?
Six players, seven votes, the Seer has a double vote, the Speaker stole the zero vote, so they can't be there.
WHY isn't it you or Ara?
Because if one of us were the Seer, they would be the first to support the execution of one of those who voted for Tox.
Yes, "mafs don't play that way" is a great argument. So great that it might even be the foundation of their tactics =-) Okay, I accept the objection. But I simply can't believe there were fewer than two "mafs" there. Although that's a weak argument on my part, I admit.
Batman is a murderer no less than the Joker, for all the lives the Joker took that Batman could've saved by killing him. Elizer Yudkovsky, "HP and the Methods of Rationality". Мой ник транслитерируется по-разному, но я предпочитаю варианты Оот и Ооот.
Ara, be quiet. Otherwise, they'll kill you.
Mold, I'm afraid of you. The last time you played so intelligently as a Mafia member, if I remember correctly.
Ara, make up your mind already, who are you going to execute? Because of you, my chances of being the Mafia are already high; you set me up, you little rascal.
But I don't have precise information; my peaceful nature doesn't grant me 100% knowledge. Guess the clue; it's the only way. Everything related to salt: a charm against dark forces, cooking, water, and all sorts of stuff.
Six players, seven votes, a double vote for the advisor, the orator stole a zero vote; he can't be there.
So, let's go over it again. There are 14 votes in the game - 4 + 1 = 11. Revan the robot had a vote stolen. On the first day, there are 11 votes in the game. A majority requires 5 + 1 = 6. Vote breakdown: Execute ToX -- 6 (Sky, Arandor, Drakkosha, Mortulus, RiMpel2, Warrior777) Execute Drakkosha -- 1 (Naver Leengard) Tear apart NNV -- 5 (Ple-Sen, OUGHT, Gur, ToX, WisTrit) It is known that Naver is a robot. In the "game of killers," there should be one more vote than in the "game of pacifists." There are two robots and an advisor at stake. If the Advisor is a pacifist, then there is +1 vote for the pacifists. If both robots are pacifists, then there are -2 votes for the pacifists. This gives us a breakdown of 6 votes for the killers against 4 votes for the pacifists. Therefore, the advisor MAY not be among the killers.
But yes, it is unlikely - if we assume a random distribution of votes, then the probability of the advisor being a pacifist is 25% (0.5 * 0.5).
In this case, I will indeed remove a vote from RiMpel, but for now, I will refrain from casting it against WisTrit.
Added 3 minutes later Stop, I forgot that there are not two, but three robots at stake. Then the probability of a pacifist increases to 3/8, but this is still not enough to make decisions based on this theory.
Batman is a murderer no less than the Joker, for all the lives the Joker took that Batman could've saved by killing him. Elizer Yudkovsky, "HP and the Methods of Rationality". Мой ник транслитерируется по-разному, но я предпочитаю варианты Оот и Ооот.
Lol, I made a silly mistake. Yes, I was too sure that the advisor was one of us, but never mind. However, Ara seems to be the most peaceful of the players, so I will stick to his opinion.
By the way, I found something here that they call "Berbers" (by the way, where does this term come from? =-)
But don't forget… before you use these tips, make sure that you are actually dealing with mold. Often, due to ignorance, flower growers mistake mineral salt deposits on the top layer of soil in a pot for mold. Unlike mold, they do not harm the plant, but they indicate that you are watering the plants with hard, untreated water, using poor-quality soil, or overusing mineral fertilizers.
Added 7 minutes later And here's something else:
Salt and mold.
A small amount of salt placed in an airtight breadbox will protect the bread from mold.
Leftover tomato paste in a jar can be protected from mold by sprinkling it with fine salt and pouring vegetable oil over it.
Added 2 minutes later In general, judging by the search results on Yandex for the query "salt mold," it is clear that salt and mold are definitely related... Hmm...
Batman is a murderer no less than the Joker, for all the lives the Joker took that Batman could've saved by killing him. Elizer Yudkovsky, "HP and the Methods of Rationality". Мой ник транслитерируется по-разному, но я предпочитаю варианты Оот и Ооот.
Ple-Sen
