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You're acting like a Mafia member, making baseless accusations: "That guy in the corner, he's Mafia!" You eliminate a player whose role is quite obvious (show me another candidate for a guard, and I might consider it), and you refer to "80% probability that Gil is Mafia." Okay, let's listen to your probability. Question: where did the other 20% go? And now, are we supposed to ignore them when an obvious candidate for Mafia refers to the remaining 80%?
You're also acting like a Mafia member, eliminating a player completely without any basis and defending just as unsubstantiated. Gil said he's a guard. Okay. So he's a guard. ... ... this...?. Forget it. Okay. 1/5 chance that he's a guard. Lizard has never been Mafia, what about the snails?
Yes, this is evident because both defending Necropolises are stated as being displayed in the newspaper.
Hmm, so option B is out. As is the option with two defenses on the Host today. On one hand, the guard isn't visible on night 1, which means Gill is the guard; on the other hand, there's clearly a Necromancer on Jose, and the Necromancer role was attributed to him, which means Gill isn't the guard. What a mess... Although, there's still the possibility that "Karen" is lying.
Нэйко
15 years ago
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Neyra, how did you know that Arandor suggested I point out the chance?
I assumed. He never abandons his team, and he definitely wants to help. I don't think it's your idea to nitpick about something that doesn't really exist (don't ask me to explain again what I am one hundred percent sure about).
They're acting crazy. And Thor and Lizard are doctor-killers. Maybe Vis is with them, maybe someone else. The others aren't revealing themselves yet: And the informant also isn't revealing themselves, neither by behavior nor by clues.
kcfgogbfalgfl
15 years ago
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Honestly, I'd almost call this group the "Evil Doctors," but that's clearly not right. Still: Ar (okay, he's dead, no doubt about it), Lizard, Reinhardt, and Vistrite (maybe he's just joking, yes, so there aren't many complaints about him, although there are some about Revanka, they're both a little suspicious).
- Ho-ho-ho, - someone chuckled in the head of the therapy department, - what do you think, how should we have some fun today? - Hmm... Doctor Lizard, I think we can have some fun tormenting patients Hostor and Gill on the rack, or poke them with something sharp... - Reinhardt suggested, sharpening kitchen knives for the next "operation." Suddenly, small sparks appeared in the palms of Vistrite, the electroshock therapy specialist, which in the next moment turned into a stream of electrical energy. - Or we can fry them! - Mm! - Reinhardt said, like a chef waiting for a dish to be prepared, - fry them, then cut them up and send them to the cafeteria for the patients! I like the way you think! - Calm down, gentlemen, calm down. - Lizard said with a sly smile, - I suggest we play a game of Good Doctor cop
WhiteLizard
15 years ago
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Oh, I'm already tired of listening to the same monotonous excuses; if you don't trust me, that's your business). But here's something worth paying attention to:
records in my database
Neyra's post
Arandor advised you to discuss the odds with me.
Neyra is communicating with Hugo Cheriteli, and she was caught being careless.
Don't you find it funny yourself? Maybe, but with a very low probability, around 5%. So I don't take that into account. But for you, this weak thread seems to be the main argument in your defense.
You didn't read this post carefully enough: /topic/at/491451/ There, I already provided quotes where you definitively state that you are from the city.
I just know that you wouldn't make such a statement because you would immediately get modkilled. So you revealed yourself with your careless quote.
Neyra, how do you know that Arandor advised me to point out the chance?
20% here, 5% there – you’re not taking many things into account, lol. First of all, let's calculate properly. We have 7 roles with an aggressive status. We subtract Arandor, leaving 6. In other words, considering only non-aggressive players, the pure chance that I am a Guard is 16.(6)%, and not 20%. Conclusion: you are one of the aggressive players and removed yourself from this group. :D Secondly, human factor. After so many people reacted negatively to the situation with immunities, the chances that Hos or myself will be targeted by blocks significantly increase. Thirdly, I'm not defending myself because your arguments aren't weak; they don't exist at all. :/ Not trolling you in this situation and with these arguments would be a sin. Especially since you're starting to reveal yourself more as a doc-killer.
I already said everything. Yes, I claim that I am peaceful. And you claim that you are Mafia?
Revealed yourself, lol? Whether I'm Mafia or not, I don't have the right to state anything seriously. And you know it perfectly well, don't pretend.
Vish, Karen is dead. Who do you think Ple-sen was if not Karen?
Nyashechka Kavai
15 years ago
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Someone really wanted a modkill, and now they're getting it themselves, haha. Great game, Arandor, Lizard.
Arandor, are we all getting on each other's nerves?
We discuss the game in "General". We discuss the game in ICQ with players, with whom, according to the rules, you are not allowed to discuss the game in private. We discuss the game in "Haven". We discuss the game in the Battle.net forums.
One more incident – and the faction you are playing will receive a random penalty, resulting in one of its players being randomly eliminated on the next night.
Now it's official.
WhiteLizard
15 years ago
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First, let's do the math properly. We have 7 roles with an aggressive status. We subtract Arandor, leaving 6. In other words, the pure chance that I am a Guardian, considering a non-aggressive player, is 16.66%. Not 20%. Conclusion: you yourself are one of the aggressive players and removed yourself from this group of six.
Okay, let both analysts come to me tonight, and everything regarding my status will be resolved. Vish has already written that you cannot be a Guardian.
Thirdly, I'm not defending myself because your argumentation isn't meager; it's non-existent.
Facepalm. No one has accused you of defending yourself yet, so you jumped to conclusions too quickly. Is 80% rounded not an argument for you?
We have 7 players with an aggressive status. We remove Arandor, leaving 6. In other words, the pure probability that I am a Guardian, without considering an aggressive player, is 16.66%. Not 20%. Conclusion: you yourself are one of the aggressive players and have removed yourself from this group of six. :)
I've always wanted to try it, is it possible? //_\
Secondly, the human factor.
//_\
Arandor is really starting to annoy everyone with his database-deleted_posts-posts_in_other_threads-advice.
