Posts from Mafia 38. Music of the Abyss Auto-translated

I'm done with analytics, since you don't seem to like it. And who to eliminate, I don't even know yet. I wouldn't risk it and would leave both of them, but they might kill me at night, and I'll be screwed. Tox, you're right!

In short, I haven't read any of the previous posts, so I'm writing what I think.

Vistrit - blocked by Van.
Hostor - healing by Clarissa.
Amko - visited Mänzik and annoyed him. Also, he was blocked by Mykonte with his beauties.
Drakoshka - annoyed with questions by Gerald.
Arandor - musical status check by Kippley.
Tox - protection from Vic Zoom.
Nebo (Nicolas) - killed Moen.

Hossy, are you a hardcore metalhead? =3

Long hair and beer will vouch for that.

humming my favorite song about a hurdy-gurdy

Guess which song has been stuck in my head ever since I read the newspaper :(

The players have made their choices. Again, no clues, what a pain. Here's the breakdown: Town: 1. Norman 2. Vic Zoom (not Tox, not Ment, not Amko, not Vissi) 3. Moena (not Vissi, not Amko) 4. Mikonte (not Amko, not Ment, not Vissi) 5. Clarissa (not Hossi, not Tox, not Ment, not Amko, not Vissi) 6. Kippley (not Arandor, not Vissi, not Ment, not Amko) 7. Gerald (not Drakkoshka, not Verovolka, not Ment, not Amko, not Vissi) (Delirious detected?):D 8. Torkin (not Hossi, not Ment) + most likely not Vissi and not Amko. 9. Mikh - Toriy (killed by Nebo) (1st night) 10. Mensik (not Amko, not Vissi, not Ment) 11. Gorshechnik Mafia: 1. Rosen Berg 2. Loran 3. Nicolas - Nebo (killed by town sniper) (2nd night) 4. Dimadiy 5. Filipok Serial Killer: 1. Traktirshchik Van (not Vistrit, not Ment) I doubt the Mafia will just sit around and do nothing, especially since they want to execute someone during the day. Besides, 90% of the time, people don't do that. So, yes, it's either Amko or Vissi. I suggest we take a risk. They only have two non-Mafia roles left. If we're unlucky, the town sniper will kill the second one during the night. Let's not just sit around, for God's sake, we keep making the same mistakes. Let's listen to both of them and, if necessary, use a random choice. p/s And pay closer attention to Ment, too.

Generally, this is one of the most reasonable moves the Mafia could make – not killing anyone and letting the town, like a herd of mindless followers, rush to hang the blocked players.

So, it turns out that one of us is a recruiter or a blocker. Or do you think they (you?) just missed their turn?

So, one of you is Norman, and the other is Gorshenin? And the Mafia skipped their turn. And by some miracle, you both ended up as city dwellers without any negative effects. Nah, that's too far-fetched.

Well, basically, everything is clear from the newspaper – who went where. The only thing that confuses me is Cerberus. What Cerberus? Oh well, never mind. There were no murders by the Mafia, and I don't think they skipped their turn. Therefore, we need to pay attention to the blocked players. In general, I'm repeating what has already been said because there's not much to discuss.

Of course, of course, that's too much. After all, the probability that we have a specific role is only 1/17! Probably a different role! Definitely!
It's too far-fetched to assign a block. Although, you can! Yes!
Come on, guys. I probably need to provide evidence and so on now. But where will I get it? How can I, being one of those two roles, prove my innocence on the second night? Hmm?

For example, we can do it like this, because the chance that both of you are not mafia is about 1%. There are 15 of us. Let one person vote for NNV. There will be 14 left. 7 people with Amka will vote against Visi, and 7 people with Visi will vote against Amka. Norman will show himself there and the mafia will be eliminated. If we end up going to NNV, we will 100% know that one of your pair is mafia. Then the shooter can choose.

Going to NNV now is simply the stupidest decision.

Ver, forget about Cerberus: it seems like this is a clue, but looking for a mountain archer would be a strange move. Vis, it doesn't seem like anyone is planning to execute anyone. But at least this situation is a reason to think. If additional information appears, then one of you will, of course, leave us. Spir, you explained the theoretical roles well; I think this table will be useful if needed.

Hmm, that's an interesting idea. It might actually work.

We can execute Amku. :3

We can do it like this, for example, because the chance that you BOTH won't be mages is about 1%.

How did you calculate that?

Okay, let's do it the way you want.

How did you calculate that?

Well, 1 out of 17 is already about 5% for each. Plus, the fact that both of you had a 5% chance reduces it to 1-2% at most.))

Okay, let's do it your way.

Well, if you're playing as Haven, and especially as Norman, you have nothing to worry about.