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Posts from Mafia 101. Disputed Island

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Offline Fragment
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#723
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Sesame
Who else "could very well be a Mafia member"?
First, everyone who hasn't been mentioned in the newspaper even once. Second, possible recruits, namely Vishmaster and Uran, although I doubt the latter. Drakkosha could also be Zero, but I have serious doubts about that too.
Sesame
What's our plan, considering we probably won't hang the Boss today?
Who knows, maybe we will... :rolleyes:
I'd like to hear the opinions of those who haven't written theirs yet, and then we can decide who to execute and what to do at night.
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Offline Sesame
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#724
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everyone who hasn't been featured in the newspaper even once
so, Heck, Alex, me, Yaschur-2, and Snow.
Five of them. I still don't see Snow and Lee. Okay, let's say four. Zero's ultimate will hit two of them. Even if one of us is Zero himself, the chance of hitting Lee is still not 100%.
Does the Order have a block, by the way? And should the city try to block Zero's ultimate?

On the other hand, there might be even more people who are Zero. Although, I still rule out Koshu (for personal reasons - I don't believe in his redeeming block). So, it seems like it's still the same five.

Hmm. I certainly hope that the ultimates will target this group of five, since that's where the highest probability of hitting the competing Boss lies, but on the other hand, I'm also in that group of five :( And Yaschur. Heh, Yaschur, I have bad news for you.

Added 9 minutes later
Who knows, maybe we'll hang him...
they both have protection against the first execution. Unless we're really lucky and the protection wears off on someone, but I don't even want to calculate the probability of that.
..разым двазым трызым рызым пята лата сигерь мата локом боком крюк за крюк из бульмы бульма урюк..
Знание некоторых закономерностей освобождает от изучения многих фактов.
Мечты сбываются рано или поздно, так или иначе.
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Offline Uranium235
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#725
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It turns out that you can set it to zero and redirect it back to itself... Then it's not that dangerous after all.
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Offline Sesame
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#726
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It's possible, but is it necessary? Considering this:
- Assault. Attacks 2 targets with physical attack and psychic attack, ignores block, isolation, and redirection.Maims all units approaching both targets (removes one action or ability until the end of the game). If "Disrupt Plans" has been applied, it can only attack one target. The action is only available on the fifth night. (U)
..разым двазым трызым рызым пята лата сигерь мата локом боком крюк за крюк из бульмы бульма урюк..
Знание некоторых закономерностей освобождает от изучения многих фактов.
Мечты сбываются рано или поздно, так или иначе.
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Offline Uranium235
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#727
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Overall, the idea of keeping our potential boss candidates alive is becoming less appealing to me. I also don't want to rely on a madman who might die from the plague.
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Offline Sesame
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#728
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In short, we need to find Lee.
Therefore, I'm casting my vote for Alex, as the most likely Lee among the five.
If we manage to eliminate her today, then we can consider blocking Zero. If the elimination fails or it turns out that Alex is not Lee, I don't think there's any point in trying to eliminate anyone else tonight besides Mana with his Date ability.
..разым двазым трызым рызым пята лата сигерь мата локом боком крюк за крюк из бульмы бульма урюк..
Знание некоторых закономерностей освобождает от изучения многих фактов.
Мечты сбываются рано или поздно, так или иначе.
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Offline Злобный Ящур
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#729
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Sesame
As a twisted option – "You won't last long" – this is a question about the character, in the vein of "Can you be recruited?" or "Can you be killed on the first try?".
Hmm... Or maybe "Can you be hanged on the first try"?
Uranium235
Oh, the resurrected one.
I wouldn't mind being resurrected, but our esteemed doctor first let me die peacefully, even though I did everything to make it clear that I was infected and needed urgent treatment. Perhaps I should have written it directly and gotten a modkill. But even then, they wouldn't have believed me... And then, for some reason, he didn't resurrect either me or Kent. However, as I understand it, he won't be able to resurrect anyone anymore... Because he died himself...
Uranium235
We can ask a rare question: who do you think killed you?
I don't know. Some inadequate person...:mad:
Fragment
Yashchur,
Yashchur is dead. They call me Last_Hero.:D
Fragment
I really want to hear your opinion about Sesame and Drakkosha.
For now, my opinion is the same as before. Sesame is town, Drakkosha is mafia. However, in the latter case, I am less confident than before...

Added after 4 minutes
Uran, I understand that we have a 50% chance of being mafia?
Ничто не возникает из ничего и ничто не пропадает бесследно.
Если где-то чего-то убудет, то в другом месте добавится.
(Закон сохранения).
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Offline Uranium235
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#730
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What are you talking about, 50? Just take all 100. The ultimate battles are coming up – let’s go and destroy Uranium. I think the Mafia will join in.
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Offline Злобный Ящур
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#731
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Uranium235
With the ultimate ability ready, it's time to eliminate Uranium.
So, who here is claiming the role of a Mafia member with an ultimate ability?
Ничто не возникает из ничего и ничто не пропадает бесследно.
Если где-то чего-то убудет, то в другом месте добавится.
(Закон сохранения).
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Offline Uranium235
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#732
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Alex is an inactive player, with a lot of evidence against him, and Snowman, who defended the mafia member Shaman as if he were his own son.
Other candidates were also suggested: Hekasan, as a default mafia member, and Sezam and Dagr, but I don't understand why.
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Offline Sesame
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#733
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where do you get these probabilities from?
I came up with 6 candidates for the role of Ru, by the way, Yashchur, you are also among them. As is Uran, for that matter.
The same goes for Nancy. Why does it have to be Vish? It could just as easily be Fragment or Kent, or even someone from the group of five suspects for the Boss (although, of course, in Zero's place, I would be wary of recruiting from that group of five).
..разым двазым трызым рызым пята лата сигерь мата локом боком крюк за крюк из бульмы бульма урюк..
Знание некоторых закономерностей освобождает от изучения многих фактов.
Мечты сбываются рано или поздно, так или иначе.
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Offline Злобный Ящур
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#734
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Sesame
Where do you get these probabilities from?
I came up with 6 candidates for the role of Ru, by the way, Yashur, you are among them. As is Uran, for that matter.
Uran has only one peaceful role.
Ничто не возникает из ничего и ничто не пропадает бесследно.
Если где-то чего-то убудет, то в другом месте добавится.
(Закон сохранения).
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Offline Sesame
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Posts: 2,172
#735
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Okay, we can put that aside for now. He's not a Boss anyway, so not today.
Evil Lizard
Hmm... Or maybe "Can you be defeated in one go"?
by the way, maybe.
Let's assume:
1. Are you from the city?
2. Do you have an ND (Non-Disclosure) like "U"?
3. Can you be defeated in one go?
..разым двазым трызым рызым пята лата сигерь мата локом боком крюк за крюк из бульмы бульма урюк..
Знание некоторых закономерностей освобождает от изучения многих фактов.
Мечты сбываются рано или поздно, так или иначе.
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Offline Злобный Ящур
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#736
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By the way, an argument in favor of recruiting Uranus and Vishmaster: the old woman cannot check them for recruitment status because they have already been questioned... Therefore, it makes sense for the Mafia to recruit the questioned players in the first place.
Ничто не возникает из ничего и ничто не пропадает бесследно.
Если где-то чего-то убудет, то в другом месте добавится.
(Закон сохранения).
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Offline Uranium235
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#737
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Okay, Yashur, your position regarding me is clear. Since I can't comment on the poll, I can only respond as a recruited mafia member. Because it's not constructive, I won't do that.

But why is Vish recruited? In my opinion, he can't be Nancy, no matter what.
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