However, there's likely to be no ignoring healing without Hunger, meaning Stygor has a 50% chance of guessing Flavius and saving him from the shot.
Doubling also makes sense to target one of the likely Flaviuses – 2 defense is not the same as 1 defense. And it's much better than doubling the Mafia. However, without Hunger, defense against Hunger becomes a more relevant neutral defense.
Added 1 minute ago
In my opinion, if Ment turns out to be Mafia (and it most likely will), the probability of Uran being Mafia is extremely low. It would be stupid for a not-so-obvious player (if we're talking about yesterday afternoon) to waste a vote on his "ally," who was very passively executed. In my opinion, Ment wouldn't so stupidly and meaninglessly waste a vote on a teammate, so at the moment, there's only one obvious townie in my eyes, and that's Uran.
Although I also believe in Nephele and Rimp, and I'd be very surprised if either of them turned out to be among the bad guys.
Nephele for two reasons.
And I have every reason to believe Neyra; her reasoning is quite logical.