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Analysts who understand this topic indicate that his chances of winning are over 95%. So, there's no need to act superior; you could just as easily say that the Libertarian candidate will win.
If a runner in a marathon is one kilometer ahead of the locomotive, he has a 95% chance of winning, but he hasn't won yet. The laurels are awarded after the action is completed, even if the guarantee is 100%. But yes, he doesn't need much more.
 

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