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I missed that Thorn only commits faceless murders starting from the second night, so here's the correction:
Mafia:
1) Galbatorix or Shruikan, fire attack on Saphira, but it was covered up by Glaedr. The latter lost his natural protection.
2) and 3) - unrevealed neutrals.
Master, because the words "blue scales" immediately made me think of Saphira, but this version was contradicted by the lack of evidence against her. And when the Shaman wrote that no clues are given on the city, this version became the most likely for me.