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I'm indirectly defending him, and he has questions for me. I'm voting for Ar because:
1) On the first night, the Evil Lizard died, not an "old man." Ar likes to kill such creatures in the early nights.
2) On the second night, someone almost killed another non-"old man."
3) Yesterday, Ar defended the Mafia.
4) Yesterday, Ar was outlining Mafia strategies. And yes, he was being truthful.
5) Now, he's pretending to be someone else, threatening to hang a peaceful role (obviously, he's playing a self-Mafia game, pretending to be someone very smart, as if he were peaceful, he would have a mechanism to at least roughly determine my role, haha).
In short, I don't see any chance of him being peaceful right now. Heroist is more complicated; he might not have understood and cast a vote out of fear that he won't vote again. Sky is probably the second candidate after Ar. I don't believe that no Mafia member will try to vote against their own, someone will definitely cast a vote for another candidate.