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The next question on the agenda: why did the Mafia redirect the target he was going to kill? Perhaps he expected the Mafia to want to kill him during the night, so he decided to monitor where their Night Defense would go. In general, this also suggests that it was more likely Ples, rather than Loken, who did it; I think the latter would have acted differently. Although, I won't lie, I don't know for sure.