I disagree.
1. You took two extreme values. Why didn't you include a third player with "stable average strength" in the table? Again, it's not a complete picture... This isn't a method for analysis; we've already discussed this...
2. We calculate a player's strength rating based on their activity. But strength is still the primary factor, not activity. The aging system is designed to remove inactive players from the table, right? But with aging, you're trying to "unfairly" punish a player who made a mistake. Therefore, a single lost or missed tournament shouldn't significantly affect the result... this isn't a lottery, and the rating should be flexible...
The rating is, in fact, a lottery. A tire blew out – a pole was hit. Took last place – the rating dropped significantly. Do you think anyone will feel sorry? Or will this be an excuse in Formula 1? No way – don't reduce the rating; it wasn't me; it was the tire's fault :)
And there, they can cut you off and hit you – who cares? :)
Added 5 minutes later
I disagree.
1. You took two extreme values. Why didn't you include a third player with "stable average strength" in the table? Again, it's not a complete picture... This isn't a method for analysis; we've already discussed this...
2. We calculate a player's strength rating based on their activity. But strength is still the primary factor, not activity. The aging system is designed to remove inactive players from the table, right? But with aging, you're trying to "unfairly" punish a player who made a mistake. Therefore, a single lost or missed tournament shouldn't significantly affect the result... this isn't a lottery, and the rating should be flexible...