Sapher
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You are describing a situation where, in private, the decision of whether or not to take a restart is almost a coin toss. That is, you can flip a coin and decide based on what it shows.
But the same situation, when made public, may no longer be close to a coin toss, but could be very bad (and a restart should be taken) or good (you should keep playing).
If, within the context of a single game, he could simply guess, because based on the available information, it was 50/50, then if you look at five games and it turns out that in all 5 games he was randomly guessing the right moments for a restart, then it is no longer correct to explain this as luck; you need to look for more plausible explanations, such as map hacking.
That is, I'm saying that how a player takes restarts should also be analyzed. Although a single game may not be enough for this.