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— I think haste in drawing conclusions, suspicion, and pride played a role here. As if, if someone disrupted his plans, it was definitely intentional, and the one who disrupted them was extremely cunning and dangerous. After all, you can't just accept that someone interrupted an ingenious scheme created by the great and unparalleled you, simply by chance? That's what happened here – personal flaws prevented the sorcerer from assessing the situation rationally.
-- Hmm, but what happened to the prophet? If this person was able to orchestrate a series of coincidences that repeatedly thwarted the plans of a powerful sorcerer using the forces of an inexperienced farmer, it is quite possible that the main character, or even the main hidden danger of the entire book, was actually the prophet, whose power exceeded the sorcerer's abilities, and it is not a fact that it was not in order to plunge the kingdom into an even greater crisis... Let me guess, this farmer will later become a king, or a crown prince, who marries a princess, but he doesn't understand politics, so who will guide all his actions? That's right, the wise man who predicted all this. Perhaps the whole story is just propaganda, and the old sorcerer wasn't that bad? Or even more interestingly, what if the old sorcerer gained power in his time in a similar way, and this whole centuries-old tradition of indirect change of government exists?
-- I could have suspected all this if the story wasn't fictional and, according to you, humorous