At the time of the Hummer/Alex and Heroist/Nefela pairings, only 3 checks had been completed.
That is, all four couldn't be checked. Does that make sense? I think so.
If Alex can only be peaceful with Tox under this scenario, then I think it's necessary to strongly dispute his arguments.
Heroist, I see you're not asleep!
Am I understanding correctly that you are disputing the probability that Alex can only be peaceful if his status is "sleeping"?
Or are you strongly disputing that Alex can be "Happiness" because "Happiness" already paid him a visit in the first night?