Based on my assessment at the start of the night, my list of potential Mafia players includes Revan, Neiko, Crabbi, Graf, Lynx, and, surprisingly (night 4), Yashur, and possibly Gumer (see below).

I can definitely believe that Yashur, Lynx, or Nebo could be a serial killer.

As for the Mafia players, I suspect Crabbi, Makka, and Gumer (though maybe not?).

 

Nefela is a very strange player; she's all over the place. She's vague, incoherent, spouts nonsense, and seems to be roleplaying, but then she tries to redeem herself by presenting some kind of charts to the town.

Yashur asked a lot of questions that seemed very pointed, the kind of questions that Mafia players typically ask in the Mafia chat. Either he was genuinely curious, or he annoyed the Moderator so much that he got kicked out of the chat and could only ask his questions here, and he couldn't find the private messages. Otherwise, in my opinion, he's just roleplaying like he did last time, but I see it happening more often in this thread. The Newspaper 4, with the block/isolation and separate missed turns, gives him every chance.

I liked how Graf went after Fragment yesterday. He gave me a perfectly reasonable explanation for why he should vote for him. I probably like him in general. But the question is, is his analysis really that good, or is he just tired of the nonsense Fragment was saying?

I like Neiko; I just do. He provides good analysis that I often agree with, has good logic, and writes infrequently but to the point.

Crabbi seems to be playing, and it seems similar to his previous game. He seems to be getting into it, and based on the chart, it's 50/50, but I want to believe in him.

Lynx seems more like a town member to me; in the previous game, she played differently, in my opinion. Basically, it's also 50/50, but I want to hope that she's a good person.

I wrote about Revan above; there's a very exonerating block on him, and if this isn't just a coincidence (twice, twice?), then I even have a specific role for him. But then, in Newspaper 4, he was blocked (twice in a row, and all the Mafia players? Are they also blocked twice, twice?).

Nebo is Nebo. I don't understand if he's a town member or not. Someone believes him; maybe he has more information. Just in case, I'll put him on my negative list...

Gumer... Well, Gumer had a very similar interesting move in the last game, just like I'm seeing now in Newspapers 1 and 4. Maybe it's not as simple as it seems?

Makka. Where is he in the thread? There's no information, he's not in the thread, it's unclear what he's doing. Could he be one of those who attacks the town with half of the protected players using physical attacks?

Can a serial killer, according to the established tradition, be HELPFUL and help the town during the day?

 

And for some reason, I have more faith in people than in town roles...

 

Edited.

Added 2 minutes ago

In the end, if we have two blocking roles, the player has an 86.5% chance of not being Eddie (he's the second one to block), but there's also the Ghost of a Girl, who can also block.

But then, with a probability of 86.5% (I didn't calculate it; I just like the number), we'll see three blocks in the newspaper!

Added 17 minutes ago

Makka. Where is he in the thread? There's no information, he's not in the thread, it's unclear what he's doing. Could he be one of those who attacks the town with half of the protected players using physical attacks?

I'm probably just writing nonsense here.

Yashur was isolated, not blocked, because no matter how hard he tried, he couldn't get through to Crestfallen Ariake. Nebo was being watched, and it looks a lot like a newspaper entry with Nefela, and that's all I see in this newspaper, hmm, it's not very informative.

That's a very interesting interpretation of the newspaper.

But I would say that Revan was isolated; people tried to get through to him, but he didn't respond. Yashur clearly wasn't doing anything, but was there really an isolation?

Although, if we assume that, theoretically, Revan could have locked himself in a room and was depressed there, and Yashur was knocking on the door...

I don't agree that Nebo was being watched. People were just talking to him and supporting him. Suzanna, based on the role description, would be more likely to be intimidating.

 

What do you think?

Added 1 minute ago

There's an interesting glitch with my messages... Do you see it too?