Mafia 107. Fever and Overdose

It's too overconfident to be burned on the fourth night, even for such a setup. And for what? For executing a "possibly peaceful" player who can't even be a key role for the town?

Hmm, there are already 7 town members, and if we assume the murder attempt failed today, we can expect 5-6 by the fourth night. A couple of inactive players. Is it really too overconfident? I think it's quite possible to rush. If we remove the serial killer from the equation, then definitely.
How to factor in the serial killer in the equations – well, that's a delicate art, and I don't know.