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Since executions by hanging are not uncommon in our region, the Mafia could have skipped their turn to hang any blocked player. But this is just an assumption...
Added 2 minutes later
Provocateur. He seems to be protecting me, but something about him doesn't sit right with me. He's most likely a bad guy.
A decision made on a whim at the very beginning of the day.
Those who voted against me had whims. But I have intuition.
An immediate attempt to decipher clues, prompted only by the threat hanging over his head.
Where did the information come from that I immediately started deciphering clues after the THREAT HANGING OVER MY HEAD? Maybe I've been guessing since yesterday, and only found the real clues now? Did anyone have such thoughts? No.
General suspicious behavior.
Nonsense. My behavior is quite typical for this setting.
The fact that he has a chance of being blocked by the Mafia.
This is the only reasonable argument. In total – it's not enough.
Tyur, do you think today's clue was planted?
No. I'm only confused by the fact that two clues can be identified in the description. "Lamentation" is 99% a clue. I don't believe that Revan accidentally saw this word somewhere and decided to use it as a name. Or that he came up with a random name that happened to match this term letter by letter. As I understand it, Mafia 4 leaves a clue on another player INSTEAD of a clue on themselves, and not that an additional clue is given. If this is really the case, and considering that there are no planted clues in this game, I conclude that "Northern War" is not a clue, but simply part of the literary description of the murder.
I think it was the killer who did it. And there's not much point for the Mafia to block. Not on the first night anyway! They should use something else and kill! It's unlikely the Mafia are so clever that they decided to sit out the first night without any killings.