I'm afraid I'm really too late. The situation is critical, at least.
Kosha described everything wonderfully
here; my list of mafia players matches hers (Revan, Sezam, Rudyy, Alex).
Sezam is obviously Raven. I asked the Moderator when he was still alive about how Raven's ultimate ability is described differently, so all these talks that she was framed using her ultimate are unfounded.
At the moment, only clues, calculating specific roles, perfect moves during the night, and a little luck can save us (strangely enough). :o
1) Zesma's voice control mechanics:
- if Zesma uses Night Defense on a person with a double vote, she will steal only one, and the second will remain with the owner
- if the mafia changed a person's vote to another, this will be reflected at the end of the voting (the nickname will be recorded for the chosen target)
- if the stolen vote was a double vote, and the mafia changed it, then this will not be visible in the list. Moreover, in this way, the mafia will know that they went to a person with a double vote.
2) Current situation (11 people)
7 townspeople (7 votes) - 4 mafia players (5 votes)
The town has Narodar with a double vote, but one vote is stolen, so 7.
The mafia has Raven with a double vote, Alex without a vote, Obben, Zesma, a stolen vote: total 5.
3) Situation tomorrow (9 people)
5 townspeople (6 votes) - 4 mafia players (5 votes)
The town has Narodar (hopefully he survives), my Night Defense (hopefully I don't get targeted by him) minus the stolen vote.
The mafia has everything the same.
In general, I recalculated here. But we still need to try to kill a mafia player during the night. If Narodar still has inspiration left, it would be better to eliminate two.
This doesn't include the fact that Verfalis can't cancel Raven's block (because he goes later), so we might have 1 kill instead of two. And also, Ighelase is protecting/pretending to be dead; things are really messed up.
But all my reasoning is useless without accurately calculating roles, so I went to look for clues.
barbarians