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Posts from Mafia 31. Twilight Dances.

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Offline Ta Kotoraya...
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Posts: 2,235
#514
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Hello everyone :) I warned the GM in advance that I wouldn't be available until Sunday evening, so I wasn't killed off (just to preempt any questions ;) ). I read almost 50 pages (oh my!). My head can't take it. Nevertheless... I've drawn some "behavioral" conclusions and am waiting for possible clues. And today, I support Kazn' Slonysh. (I agree that she's more likely to be Mafia; otherwise, we have an Angel).
Если тебе не везёт в жизни, - играй в какую-нибудь другую игру:rolleyes:
Лидер клана "Из многих единое"

Приключения – это сплошные неприятности, только про них почему-то потом интересно вспоминать...
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Offline Ta Kotoraya...
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#515
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Luis
Słonysh and Gil are 100% guilty, but for now, let's execute Rimple.
What's the point? He's poisoned, there can be no ND (No Death) from him, he can wait another night anyway, if necessary - we'll execute him and tomorrow. (although I still doubt the evidence against him - it's really too easy).
Если тебе не везёт в жизни, - играй в какую-нибудь другую игру:rolleyes:
Лидер клана "Из многих единое"

Приключения – это сплошные неприятности, только про них почему-то потом интересно вспоминать...
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Offline Gil4
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#516
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Arandor
Gil, as I understand it, the fact that the note-passing has been canceled today, and what else, suggests that Nayra is indeed part of the mafia.
Should I post a link to my post, or will you find it yourself? :D
Also, there are other candidates who seem quite suspicious – just say who, and I'll support it. My goal isn't to specifically eliminate Nayra; my goal is to eliminate someone suspicious as a test, so we don't waste the day. Because otherwise, there's a good chance we'll lose.



Even if we fight, even if there’s such thing
I will not give up
Just like this, I won't let go
Strongly grasping your right hand’s warmth
I’ll be here
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Offline Arandor
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Posts: 60,110
#517
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Give me the link, I don't want to search for it.

Rimp, Hos - they are next on the list of mapmakers.

Be strong. Believe
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Offline Luis
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Posts: 45
#518
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The One Who...
What's the point? He's poisoned, he can't possibly have any Non-Dominated creatures, and he can wait another night anyway; if necessary, we'll execute him tomorrow. (though I'm still skeptical about the evidence against him – it really is too simple)

Well, yes, the clue is weak. But who to execute? Slonysh, who is an unknown entity, or Neyru, who has intuition? :smile04:



I can hear them hound dogs howlin'
Chasin' that old fox
Where I used to roam
Down there in the country
Callin' me to Black River Swamp
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Offline Gil4
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Posts: 677
#519
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Arandor
Give me the link; I don't want to search for it.

Rimp and Hos are next on the list of mafia players.
/post/486926/

Added after 2 minutes
Ta Kotoraya...
And today, I support Kazn Sloonysh. (I agree that she is more likely a mafia player; otherwise, we have an Angel).
Don't be offended by my nitpicking, but even in the worst-case scenario, the chances are 50/50. Golem + Advisor vs. Sovereign + Dancer. Where you see a greater probability is very interesting to me.



Even if we fight, even if there’s such thing
I will not give up
Just like this, I won't let go
Strongly grasping your right hand’s warmth
I’ll be here
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Offline Ta Kotoraya...
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Posts: 2,235
#520
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Luis
Yeah, the clue is pretty weak. But who should be executed? Slonysh, who is a complete mystery, or Nairu, who has intuition? :smile04:
Executing someone based on a weak clue, especially someone who is already in a bad situation, is even more foolish. In my opinion, it would be better to use Non-lethal Neutralization (NNV) instead.
Если тебе не везёт в жизни, - играй в какую-нибудь другую игру:rolleyes:
Лидер клана "Из многих единое"

Приключения – это сплошные неприятности, только про них почему-то потом интересно вспоминать...
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Offline Arandor
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#521
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1. Silence was used after the Alchemist had checked her.
2. The logic of the first night might have been disrupted specifically to send her on the mission.
3. They were specifically blocking her when the Archer was killing. Why not send the Dancer on the mission again, who has a chance of leaving no clues? If they started with the Dancer, why send the Archer now? Answer: The Dancer is being blocked to clear her. Again, who would think that they are intentionally clearing her? Many people thought that about Hos after the first night, but no one thinks that about her (at least in the thread).

1. Maybe it's a setup or something else? I don't understand why they are going as the Dancer instead of the Assassin. Are they waiting for everyone with protection to be killed?) There are many things I don't understand about their actions, although some of them are clear. A dubious argument.
2. What was said about the logic? Why didn't they come to you, or what was it about?
3. Then explain to me where some of the peaceful non-detectives were on the second night when she was blocked.
Golem + Advisor vs. Enchantress + Dancer. Where did you see a higher probability, I'm very interested.
He is like those in heavy armor. The description would be different.
If Slonish is the Advisor, we will lose less than if Neyra is peaceful, because she is definitely not the Advisor and will be caught for sure.

Be strong. Believe
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Offline Слоныш
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Posts: 2,033
#522
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Morning
I can already imagine how Hostor will soon change his tune, justifying it with "rational arguments," which, for you seasoned players with thousands of games and hundreds of portals, is as clear as day.
No, thank you, of course. :smile43: Just kidding, I'm really pleased to hear that, considering I've only played 8 games here (including the crazy game with Hostor) and two on the Portal. I'll accept the compliment without any sarcasm. :)
Morning

No one has even tried to find evidence to support that theory yet.
If she really is the Dancer, then where would the evidence come from?
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Offline Ta Kotoraya...
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Posts: 2,235
#523
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Gil4
/post/486926/

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Don't be offended by my nitpicking, but even in the worst-case scenario, the chances are 50/50. Golem + Advisor vs. Enchantress + Dancer. I am very interested to know where you see a higher probability.
For me, it is higher because, on top of everything else, I also consider behavior :rolleyes:. But naturally, I might be wrong, but at the moment, this particular move seems the most logical to me: smile01:
Если тебе не везёт в жизни, - играй в какую-нибудь другую игру:rolleyes:
Лидер клана "Из многих единое"

Приключения – это сплошные неприятности, только про них почему-то потом интересно вспоминать...
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Offline Gil4
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Posts: 677
#524
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Arandor
1. Maybe it's a setup or something else? I just don't understand why they're playing as a dancer instead of an assassin. Are they waiting for everyone with defense to be eliminated? There are many things I don't understand about their actions, although some of them are clear. It's a dubious argument.
2. What was said about logic? Why didn't they come to you, or what was it about? Remind me.
3. Then explain to me where some of the peaceful neutrals were in the second night, when they were blocked.
1. You still haven't answered my question. Why was Silence used?
2. No, this isn't about me. I don't want to talk specifically because I have the feeling that the Mafia still doesn't understand this best option for a night move.
3. Make a list of the neutrals that you think are missing. As far as I remember my analysis of the night, I didn't become confident in Neyra's innocence - I was still assuming that she was intentionally blocked by her own side.



Even if we fight, even if there’s such thing
I will not give up
Just like this, I won't let go
Strongly grasping your right hand’s warmth
I’ll be here
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Offline Arandor
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Posts: 60,110
#525
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How would I know why? You tell me why Duke Thorian gave away his weak role to Morny. But according to you, they did it to whitewash Nera so blatantly. They wanted to cover for her, not set her up.

On the second night, I see the Neutral Demigods: Technomage, Witch, Abbot, Alchemist.
Governor, Advisor, Thief, Angel, Knight - are not displayed.

Can you see which Neutral Demigods are missing?

Be strong. Believe
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Offline Arandor
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Posts: 60,110
#526
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It is possible that the missing NDs were sent to Hosa. Although Vis said that this could also have manifested as: men came, but saw nothing.

Be strong. Believe
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Offline Amko
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Posts: 13,542
#527
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In my opinion, given the current dangerous situation, we should execute the person who is most likely the Mafia. If we hang the archer, Rimpel, we will gain an extra day, and more evidence will appear, etc. There is decent (though perhaps too weak) evidence against this person, while with Ney, it's more of an intuition. I don't want to waste a day on a possible advisor/golem.
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Offline Arandor
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#528
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Come on, the clues were easy to find in Haven too. Besides, he's a maniac, so he might be even easier to identify as Mafia. So, Rimp is definitely Mafia, but I'd rather execute another, more dangerous Mafia member for now.

Be strong. Believe
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