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Posts from FB-2 (spring 2010)

Tournament History online Closed Topic
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Offline Wlk777
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Posts: 2,497
#66
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Forrest
upd
AliaSmehova 2(2) 1.90
Pit for LM 0(0) 8.00
Javdet 2(3) 9.00
Medium_HP 1(1) 9.00
Mizrael 0(0) 10.00
LeBron 0(0) 11.00
Piterius 0.5(1) 12.00
Wlk777 2(4) 21.00
Aldegir 2.5(6) 51.00
numOne 1(5) 151.00

AliaSmehova 2(2) will win the tournament 1.90, will not win the tournament - 1.85
Is the Great Chance Assessor drunk? :D Where did I get the second win from? o_O? :confused: In the fourth game, with Medium, without reserves on 4 respawn points, I couldn't handle 8 angels on the second week. There, a save on 111 and let someone mega-cool and invincible try to get out of my setup. Are all the other results accurate, or do I need to check them? I will remain completely silent about the humorous mystery ;)
Всем удачи ! И Морали !
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Offline Javdet
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#67
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Wlk777
Is the Great Chance Assessor drunk? :D Where did I get my second win from? o_O ? :confused: (In the fourth game, with a Medium and no reserves on 4 respawn points, I couldn't handle 8 angels on the second week. There, a save on day 111 would be useful, and let someone mega-cool and invincible try to get out of my setup). Are all the other results accurate, or do they need to be checked? I won't say anything about the funny mystery at all ;)
Maybe this is a comeback from the previous forum?)))
Даже если вас съели - у вас два выхода:smile19:

Зима 2011-12.
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Offline Wlk777
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#68
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Javdet
maybe this is a comeback from the previous Factions Battle?)))
It's a shame that in the previous Factions Battle, our Super Evaluator didn't set the odds; he wouldn't have guessed anything close, I'm sure.
Всем удачи ! И Морали !
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In reply to Wlk777
Offline Samurai
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#69
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Wlk777
Is the Great Odds Assessor drunk?
Predictions have always been an ungrateful task, precisely because there's always someone who feels "shortchanged." Offended that they (or someone they support) believe they were unfairly underestimated, they start resorting to personal attacks and making petty jabs at the predictor. Wlk, it's clear now how you, the "shortchanged" one, are trying to belittle Forrest, clearly upset about your placement in this prediction.
And your words
Wlk777
It's a shame that in the previous Fantasy Basketball league, our Super Assessor didn't set the odds; he wouldn't have come close to guessing correctly, I'm sure.
are just "what ifs."
In response, I can say that if Alex, LeBron, or even Pete had played in the previous Fantasy Basketball league, you yourself know where your place would have been :D.

Overall, it's great that Forrest is providing his odds; it enhances the tournament and creates additional incentives for reasonable people. If you strongly disagree with the odds, you can simply offer your own, of course, not as elaborate as Tolyan's, but even I would be interested to see your ranking of the participants.
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Offline Wlk777
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#70
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Samurai

In response, I can say that if you played against Alex, LeBron, or even Pete in the past, you would know where you would stand:D.
You always hear the bell but don't know where it is, and you just blurt out something:D. LeBron and Pete played, Pete didn't make it to the finals for whatever reason, LeBron lost 2 games in the finals, and I only lost one. Alex withdrew on his own; he prefers to play against newcomers. Regarding the second
Samurai

"If ifs and buts were candies and nuts, then we'd all have a merry Christmas."
;)
Всем удачи ! И Морали !
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Offline Dirty_Player
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#71
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Wlk777
It's a pity that in the previous Factions Beta, our Super-Evaluator didn't provide the odds; he wouldn't have come close to guessing correctly, I'm sure.
Well, until his odds are disproven. You said the same thing about the LvsB-2 tournament, but you were given an example that almost everything turned out as predicted. So let's see if that happens here too.
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In reply to Forrest
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Offline Alessandro
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Posts: 474
#73
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Wlk777! Why are you so offended by Forrest and other people's predictions?
I was just looking at the "Football and Hockey" section on HeroesBay.
http://www.forum.heroes.by/viewtopic.php?t=763&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=150 and the following pages:
Forrest predicts Russia and Ukraine will advance to the World Cup in South Africa.

Ukraine 1.80
Greece 1.95

Russia 1.25
Slovenia 4.00

Greece and Slovenia advanced.
Forrest's quote the day before the return match against Slovenia: "If Slovenia wins 1:0 tomorrow, God forbid...". Which is exactly what happened.

Or, for example, the 29th round of the 2009 Russian Football Championship:
Rubin-Zenit 3:2 (the actual result was 0:0)
Spartak-CSKA 2:2 (the actual result was 2:3)

Of course, it's just a prediction. And it's not about Forrest and other people who like to make predictions. If I were doing it, I'm sure I would also be wrong.
For example, on the portal, I wrote in percentages:
60% chance that Ukraine will beat Greece
70% chance that Russia will beat Slovenia
In the end, I was also wrong. It's just a prediction, and the facts will most likely be different.
Discord  5884
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Offline Forrest
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Posts: 500
#74
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A barking dog doesn't bite, and the caravan keeps moving.

Right now, I think reasonable people will agree that the initial forecast has been fully confirmed. Among those who are actively playing:
The favorites are winning - Alex, Javdet
The underdogs are losing, having almost lost all chances of winning: VLK, Aldegir, NomVan.

I admit, I made a mistake; I attributed an extra win to VLK (your table isn't updated quickly enough). I guess I did it because of his shouting and attacks, so he wouldn't be offended. But I thought he "left the forum":D
РП (Реальное папство!)
*Автосейвы не беру и не даю.

Скачать WT (Чат, античит, одновременный ход) http://www.heroeswt.net/download.php

Награда Лучшему игроку сезона Осень 2009 за Оплот
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In reply to Psyche_7
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Offline Loi
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Posts: 1,084
#75
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The predictions, as always, are of high quality....
Psyche_7
It would be interesting to see the odds for the qualifiers (OFC-3).
+1
Стратегия - искусство возможного.

Первое правило форума :
"Хвалу и клевету приемли равнодушно
И не оспаривай глупца" (с)

Новичкам: ВНИМАТЕЛЬНО перечитайте ВЕСЬ первый пост по нижеприведенной ссылке и 90% ваших вопросов отпадут( на остальные 10% с удовольствием отвечу):
Правила онлайн игр
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Offline Forrest
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#76
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Psyche_7
It would be interesting to see the odds for the qualifying rounds (OFC-3).

Guys, there are many players I don't know, and I couldn't find a comprehensive and accessible table. It's difficult to make predictions based on that.
РП (Реальное папство!)
*Автосейвы не беру и не даю.

Скачать WT (Чат, античит, одновременный ход) http://www.heroeswt.net/download.php

Награда Лучшему игроку сезона Осень 2009 за Оплот
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Offline SpiriTT
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#77
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/topic/at/339769/
The table is in the second post.
And could you make configs for distributing the first 10, for example...? If that's even possible...
ну это вообще всем аргамездец!© Kash
без авто:smile20:
Человек - игрушка Бога. Этому - то и надо следовать. Надо жить играя.
Платон.
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In reply to SpiriTT
Offline Medium_HP
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Posts: 756
#78
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Medium_HP (blue, Conflux, Fure, Gunnar) def Wlk777 (red, Swamp, Wistan, Wistan), 2cm4d(3), 131

The beginning was tough, with only one secondary hero, and obstacles along the way. By the time I reached the enemy, I had about a dozen butterflies and 6 air units left, but my secondary hero had a water splash ability.
After that, it was similar to my loss in the interportal map - I used a logistics hero to gather resources, my secondary hero, 8 angels, and then used "Go" on the second turn. On turn 127, I didn't quite reach the enemy castle with one unit, but I blocked the exit, and on turn 131, the red player surrendered.
Thank you for the game.
Награда: Лучшему игроку сезона Осень 2009 за замок Конфлюкс
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Offline Javdet
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#79
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Javdet (red, Swamp, Taz, Clavius) def Piterius (blue, Castle, Valya, Valya) 133 2sm4d3

We played 2 games, the first one was ruined, but it was interesting. ГО from Crystal Dragons — the rush got to my head, I had to go, even though there wasn't much point. Killed it on 124, losing 1 black cow, 11 Vasyas, and junk from a secondary hero, and for no reason rushed in without mana afterwards. They hit hard, I managed to pull through, but the auto-exchange left its mark on the outcome...

In the 2nd we agreed no auto. Bought Clavius and Isra, decide to go for extreme — raising skeletons in the Swamp. Isra catches Necromancy exp from the scholar — gotta screw up like that))) Managed to fully build up by 127, in secondary dungeons [got] eyes for meat for the Dragon Utopia. Made a blunder on 131 forgetting to build the mana booster, the boss returns, then opens a Pandora's Box with basic wisdom — empty, also took Vasyas away from the castle even though I planned to upgrade, but Pyotr didn't stay in debt either — went into the Griffin Conservatory with a max scout hero.

Thanks for the games.
Даже если вас съели - у вас два выхода:smile19:

Зима 2011-12.
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Offline Piterius
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#80
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Javdet
Javdet (red, Swamp, Taz, Clavius) def Piterius (blue, Castle, Valya, Valya) 133 2sm4d3

We played 2 games, the first one we screwed up, but it was interesting. ГО from crystal dragons - the rush went to my head, had to go for it, even though there wasn't much point. Killed on 124 losing 1 black cow, 11 Vaskas and junk from a secondary hero, and for no reason pushed on without mana. They hit back hard, managed to pull through, but the auto-combat exchange left its mark on the outcome...

In the 2nd we agreed to no auto-combat. Purchased Clavius and Isra, decide to go for extreme - breeding skeletons in the Swamp. On 127 managed to fully build up, in secondary Dungeons eyes under meat for Dragon Utopia. Messed up on 131 forgetting to build the mana amplifier, overlord returns, then opens a Pandora's Box with basic wisdom - empty, also took the Vaskas away from the castle even though I planned to upgrade, but Peter didn't stay in debt either - went into the Griffon Conservatory with a maxed scout hero.

Thanks for the games.

Yeah, I went into the Griffon Conservatory for some damn reason without checking, even though I had a scout hero standing nearby specifically for that. I'm very careless, what can I say. I botched a very interesting map - it gave us both surprisingly even stuff, even though we both picked all rests.
It all started back in the first one :D , when on 117 I bought fairies and a tavern in a secondary for some reason, moved the army through a chain of 6 heroes back, but Valya was 1 hex short of a crypt, and I was 1000 short for building a Citadel. Then I saw I had run past gold and crypts :eek: - let Valya have dithered there for a day, but no, the tempo... In the end, horses in the Fort and I built Griffins, but they never came in handy :( .
In the second one I seemed to have improved, took the Conservatory with a two, broke through a lot of gold golems, behind them a box with 40 Marksmen and an external dwelling of Griffins, split the Angels and Marksmen in half and by the end of the week built up to Castle. On 127 with 2700 I farmed 14k in a day from crypts and Imp Hives, did a bit of trading and plugged in the Angels, it became easier to breathe for the perspective of facing the bones. And already scouted 2 Dragon Utopias and a grass treasure zone.
On 132 scouting noticed the top of another Conservatory, I'm moving there and make a fatal mistake. I checked several times later - there was no way the scout hero could take it, why this happened - who knows, there was only 1 Angel and the Swords weren't upgraded :mad:
On 134 Valya took it with a loss of 9 Archers from the first hit of the Griffins and the consumption of 16 Dwarves, 28 Swords were killing half a stack per hit, the rest after the Marksmen's shot. But it wasn't meant to be.

Thanks for the game, favorite :) !
Хаос - это порядок, которым сложнее управлять.

icq: 407907277
skype: piterius_i

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