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There is another important question – should we execute the lone wolf now? If the assumption about the conspirators' ambush is correct, as well as the assumption about Ardas' role, we may face difficulties.
1.
Now
7 worlds + 4 maf + 1 man
If we do NNV today, we lose 2 worlds at night
In the morning
5 worlds + 4 maf + 1 man
The jester will need a mana vote
2.
Now
7 worlds + 4 maf + 1 man
If we eliminate mana today, we lose 1 world at night
In the morning
6 worlds + 4 maf
It's okay, even if the maf steal a vote
3.
Now
7 worlds + 4 maf + 1 man
If we eliminate a maf today, we lose 2 worlds at night
In the morning
5 worlds + 3 maf + 1 man
If the maf steal a vote at night, the jester will need a mana vote; if they don't, it's okay
4.
If we eliminate a world now, I won't even calculate it :(
We can't eliminate a world now
I repeat, this is a pessimistic forecast.