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Mafia 103. Ice and Ash

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#516
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No, Uran, that won't work. I'm not going to come up with arguments in favor of someone I consider to be Mafia. And in general, I'd like to hear them from you.
I think I wrote it. Not why Uran isn't Mafia, but why Fragment isn't Mafia - that's what I'm waiting for.

Added after 41 seconds
MasteR
Yes, it's better to stick with someone whose chances of being innocent are 25%, rather than with someone whose chances are 60%. That's right.
Tell me how you calculated 60%.