Workshop

I was trying to say that in this case, it's unknown which half of the 50% is better.

Well, in that case, I don't know, but in THIS case, it's obvious that +1 vote for the town is better than +0. Of course, it still depends on who gets the role of Oun and what the role holder prefers to do during the game (whether they flip coins or observe the game and analyze what's happening), but nevertheless. I described a scenario where these "50%" will actually determine the winner. You can talk as much as you want about how "it's unlikely," but in post 61, I described a scenario where the game would freeze under a certain set of circumstances because it would be impossible to apply the "Mana" ability with 4 "Mirks" (he could disrupt his own execution every time). And it was also "unlikely," but in the end, it turned out exactly as I said: the situation was 3:1:1, and if, after the first disrupted execution, the town hadn't gone along with the Mafia and "Mana" (who also said something along the lines of "let's hang someone else, or we'll just keep going in circles") and hadn't applied the "Mirk" ability, but had "gone all the way," the game wouldn't have ended. So, there's no point in talking about "unlikelihoods"; they have the same value as other "probabilities"...:mad: You need to consider all possible scenarios.