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So, Gur is blocked by Narik. This means Gur is definitely:
* Not Milton, because he can't be blocked.
* Not Patient Zero, because he was actively involved.
* Not Jen Lee, because her actions aren't being displayed.
* Not Crowe, because he would send Narik away.
Probably, since Nancy could have abused their abilities:
* Not Baba Nyura, because she was working (Where is the second poll then? The old woman was grumbling (we'll find out next night) or the old woman is a Cop, meaning she's in isolation, and the second poll went to Lee. These are all interesting stories, but some percentages are adding up).
* Not Doctor, because he was working.
* Not Lucy, because she also seems to be involved (Actually, there's no real reason for Nancy to use infection on the first night, so 99% it's not Lucy).
Bob? If Richie or Crowe redirected, it's possible, but unlikely.
Levi tried, but isolation comes before blocking. So, he can't be eliminated. (There's also a Nancy option here, but the chances are too low, I don't believe it).
Rick? Quite possible.
Nancy? Why not.
Ru? Easily.
Cornelius? Nothing seems to prevent it.
Kane? Also possible, so Gur is still quite likely to be Mafia.
Richie? No factors against.
Night Hunter? There's even a factor in favor, as the Mafia didn't kill, but it's still a long shot.
I don't know the exact extent of the restrictions on revealing information about myself, so I'll just say it simply: I'm good and kind.
Cop is in isolation. This means definitely:
* Not Patient Zero, because he was active.
* Not Lee, because her actions aren't being displayed.
* Not Crowe, because he sent someone away.
* Not Kane, because recruitment won't work when the target is in isolation.
Probably, {remembering Nancy}:
* Not the old woman.
* Not Doctor.
* Not Lucy.
* Not Bob.
Levi. Redirected, and all that. Maybe, but it's just...
* Rick
* Nancy
* Ru
* Cornelius
* Richie
* Milton
* Night Hunter
Doctor hit successfully. Although there's Nancy, and there are redirects (as many as 5).
A little bit of armchair detective work. Rick didn't use his ability this night.
And some hypotheses.
The Mafia wasn't seen. Could it be pepper spray? Or maybe they hit Lee. They could have been sitting and waiting.
It's stupid for the Mafia to recruit on the first night. Attacking also seems stupid, as it reveals evidence while you're alone. It's possible that Lee will stay quiet until she recruits someone. After all, the Mafia isn't obligated to kill.
Regarding Kane being recruited. In the list of actions, there's a great option: attack with planted evidence. It's too tempting not to abuse it on the second night, so the ability will be available again on the fifth. Be prepared.
In general, I'm inclined to think that it's more beneficial for Nancy to use the spy ability on the first night, but it could also have been first aid.
I would say that the other townies, who have a choice between aggression and spying, chose spying. But that's not true anymore, since Lucy was infecting. I didn't immediately understand this paragraph, by the way, thanks for the explanation.
Update:
Judging by the poll, only roles that can be recruited fit him.