Good versus Evil - II

I understand that only one point of view is accepted here, okay, a coin toss is the most balanced way to determine the winner of a group.

Here's a simple example.
The draw determined that you will play against Alexeagle. What is the probability that Alexeagle will be the winner? Correct, close to zero.
The draw determined that you will play against, for example, Stefandmy. What is the probability that Stefandmy will be the winner? Somewhere around 30%.
The draw determined that you will play against, for example, BOLIVAR, Boez. What is the probability that BOLIVAR, Boez will be the winner? Apparently, about 40%.
Or against Will/Sir_Moz/Ekzekutor. The outcome of the game (win/loss) is equally likely (50/50).
So, where is the role of the coin toss here?
The strongest will win anyway...

And then the draw will only be applied among those players who have an equal number of points and the same parameters:
- personal result of the game with players from opposing Factions;
- number of wins;
- number of draws;
- number of losses.