Mafia 90. The Tale of Oldforest.

The answer to the first question can even be guessed; Alex isn't playing his first game, after all.

Is there a Russian spirit? A Werewolf? A Mafia member?
Werewolf - yes yes yes
Mafia - no no yes
Other worlds - no no no
Knight, Warlord - yes no no
Random Hero - no no no

It could be either a Mafia member (excluding a Werewolf), or a Warlord or Knight. The probability is 66.6%.

Is there a Nature Spirit? A Werewolf? A Mafia member?
Werewolf - no yes yes
Mermaid/Spark - yes no yes
Other Mafia - no no yes
Leshy - yes no no
Random Hero - no no no
Other worlds - no no no

It's either a Leshy, a Sorcerer, or a Bard. The probability is 66.6%.

Is there a Spirit? A Werewolf? A Mafia member?
Werewolf - yes yes yes
Mermaid/Spark - yes no yes
Other Mafia - no no yes
Leshy/Knight/Warlord - yes no no
Other worlds - no no no
Random Hero - no no no

It's a Sorcerer, Bard, Leshy, Knight, or Warlord. The probability is 40%.
It's logical that Alex would choose either the first or second option. But, of course, it's easier to just wait for him.
P.S. I'm not spreading rumors, because I put the wonderful adverb "for now" before it, and I think you know what it means. ^_^

Added 4 minutes later
If there are votes for Revan, I will gladly vote. But don't forget about the Heroist!