Мафия 89. Nemesis

It's something like this: If we execute Skeleton now and he turns out to be a Mafia member, as you suggest, then the situation at night will be 2-1-1. It's absolutely not beneficial for the Troll to kill the last Mafia member (2-0-1), so he kills a Villager. The last Mafia member can kill someone himself; in this case, in the morning, the situation will be 1-1-1, and the town loses. It's also possible that he won't make a kill, in which case the situation tomorrow remains 2-1-1. If today we have a No Night Kill (3-2-1), then everything is very unclear. If the Serial Killer is executed (3-2-0), then the town has a chance to win, but the Troll will try to prevent this. So, let's proceed based on the preferred scenario for everyone: 2-1-1 for tomorrow. There are three possible scenarios: the Serial Killer is executed, the Mafia member is executed, or we have a No Night Kill. If the Troll is executed, the situation becomes 2-1-0, and if the town has at least one Protector left, the Villagers win. If the Mafia member is executed again, the situation remains 2-0-1, and at night, the Troll makes a guaranteed kill and wins. In the case of a No Night Kill (2-1-1), it's again beneficial for the Serial Killer to kill a Villager (1-1-1); regardless of the Mafia's actions (0-1-1)/(1-1-1), the town loses. The town can only win under favorable circumstances, namely, if Skeleton turns out to be a Protector, and the Mafia doesn't kill any of the Villagers at night. In any other situation, the Serial Killer wins, or we'll have to choose which of the negative roles to give the victory to.