In my opinion, no matter what happens at night, there still won't be a next day.
According to my records, there are 2 mana left, a Wizard, Lionel, and a Count controlled by Melissa, all under the protection of the law.
We eliminate the Wizard, Melissa controls Lionel, and she has already won, while Marcus leaves, if he is indeed immune to control. Or am I mistaken again?
Otherwise, you are right; you have the highest chance of winning, regardless of who takes control during the day.