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In our games, there was a period when a certain town consistently won. But usually, the winners are those who are said to be too weak and will be eliminated in the first couple of days.
A lot also depends on the actions of the "maniac." If the "maniac" role is assigned to Yanuk, and a murder occurs, no one has any protection. The "IMF" can almost eliminate all the "mafia" players, even with just one "night kill." It all depends on how events unfold.