Roger DAltavilla
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In the confrontation between Yanukovych and the Maidan, those who stand in the middle will win.
Yanukovych cannot disperse the Maidan; the more he resorts to force, the fiercer the resistance will be. To put it bluntly, yesterday he was hated for being complacent, and tomorrow he will be hated for the killings. Therefore, the Ukrainian president is trapped and is prolonging the negotiations.
The Maidan is also trapped; it cannot simply disband, or they will all be rounded up one by one. Most likely, Maidans will appear in new cities, growing in number and paralyzing the life of the country.
There is also a third force: the leaders of the security forces, who do not understand why the president is delaying the declaration of a state of emergency and not allowing the use of force. These leaders need to explain to their soldiers every night that they need to be patient, which is very difficult. Given that the Maidans will grow throughout the country, the military forces will be operating at the limit of their capabilities (this is not Starcraft, and you cannot simply "order" more Berkut officers). At some point, the patience of the security forces will run out, and they will use their authority to bring armored vehicles to the Maidan, crush the opposition, and, on the way back, overthrow Yanukovych, establishing a state of emergency in the country. If, at this point, foreigners try to interfere, wanting to take control, they will be dealt with harshly and decisively. A temporary government will be appointed from the military, and early elections will be held, which the military will also win.
Has anyone described the delights of a totalitarian regime? You will have the opportunity to experience them to the fullest.
Oh yes, since even here, on this Heroes forum, any attempt by Russians to talk about friendship with Ukraine is perceived as aggression (and only the courageous resistance of Roger-ua and Lider1 prevents Ukraine from being subjugated through the Forum), this will soon become the official version. A military government needs an enemy.
Yanukovych cannot disperse the Maidan; the more he resorts to force, the fiercer the resistance will be. To put it bluntly, yesterday he was hated for being complacent, and tomorrow he will be hated for the killings. Therefore, the Ukrainian president is trapped and is prolonging the negotiations.
The Maidan is also trapped; it cannot simply disband, or they will all be rounded up one by one. Most likely, Maidans will appear in new cities, growing in number and paralyzing the life of the country.
There is also a third force: the leaders of the security forces, who do not understand why the president is delaying the declaration of a state of emergency and not allowing the use of force. These leaders need to explain to their soldiers every night that they need to be patient, which is very difficult. Given that the Maidans will grow throughout the country, the military forces will be operating at the limit of their capabilities (this is not Starcraft, and you cannot simply "order" more Berkut officers). At some point, the patience of the security forces will run out, and they will use their authority to bring armored vehicles to the Maidan, crush the opposition, and, on the way back, overthrow Yanukovych, establishing a state of emergency in the country. If, at this point, foreigners try to interfere, wanting to take control, they will be dealt with harshly and decisively. A temporary government will be appointed from the military, and early elections will be held, which the military will also win.
Has anyone described the delights of a totalitarian regime? You will have the opportunity to experience them to the fullest.
Oh yes, since even here, on this Heroes forum, any attempt by Russians to talk about friendship with Ukraine is perceived as aggression (and only the courageous resistance of Roger-ua and Lider1 prevents Ukraine from being subjugated through the Forum), this will soon become the official version. A military government needs an enemy.
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