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Mafia 71. Ancient World

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On the previous page, we explained to him in simple terms that not all those who voted for Tox are Mafia, but there is definitely a very useful and good advisor among them, and it's not me or Ara. Now he's surprised why we don't want to accuse the potential advisor.
Please elaborate on your argument in more detail; it sounds unsubstantiated.
WHY is the probability that there are fewer than three Mafia members higher than 30%?
WHY is there definitely an advisor there?
WHY is it not you or Ara?
Right now, I only see unsubstantiated claims.

Added 1 minute ago

Secondly, we still don't have any other candidates. I suggested Gura, but people didn't react much. And you won't get far with NNV.
Why Gura, who is also not among the killers? I don't understand.
Batman is a murderer no less than the Joker, for all the lives the Joker took that Batman could've saved by killing him.
Elizer Yudkovsky, "HP and the Methods of Rationality".
Мой ник транслитерируется по-разному, но я предпочитаю варианты Оот и Ооот.