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Haven could have protected its Orton, fearing that he would be killed because of the previous game, and refrained from killing, arguing that there are immunities and the risk of triggering a defense is high.
Yes, they could have protected their Orton. This is a plausible scenario.
I believe Tox is still a townie. Yes, he plays well and can bluff effectively, but the phrases at the beginning about killing and the inactivity on the first day are not typical of Tox the mafia player.
In Revnemafia, he was a mafia player, but that didn't prevent him from getting a modkill for revealing.