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For Kitz, Dasha, and others who think I became too active after being inactive: yes, I really didn't read the thread on the first day and second night because of real-life stuff. But I'm familiar enough with the setting to quickly understand the newspapers and write my opinion about them. It's just that I'm not a very good psychologist, and I can't always properly assess the behavior of players. Dasha, for example, seems like a townie to me based on her recent posts.
And I think it's time to reveal myself, because there are some interesting thoughts about the neutrals that I want to write down.
So, I'm Velerad, and I'm playing as town. On the first night, I checked Gur, and he seems like a townie. I don't think he's the Professor (although anything is possible), which is why I wrote that he should be removed from the list, and I added Nefel for good measure. I slept through the second night.
Now let's see what we have with the others.
Siegfried. At first, I was sure he was town, because it doesn't make sense for the Order not to kill on the first night (there was also a block from Adda). But after Phoenix was revealed, I started to think. The Order could have protected their Orton, fearing that he would be killed because of the previous game, and not gone for a kill, arguing that there are immunities and the risk of getting a protect is high. So, Phoenix (I'm inclined to believe his reveal) is a likely mafia member.
Vivaldi. I think Tox is still a townie. Yes, he plays well and can bluff well, but the phrases at the beginning about killing and being inactive on the first day don't seem like Tox-mafia. I also trust the words about the detective being a townie, but to a lesser extent.
Detective and Yuz. These were my two candidates for the fourth Order role. Why: I thought Siegfried was a townie, and the merchants went out on the first night when there was a block from the Order (the combination of a block and a voice denial on the first day seemed like complete nonsense to me). But now that Phoenix is a candidate for this role, I'm inclined to believe that the detective and the jailer are both townies.
That's it.