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Tactics for the Swamp (Fortress).

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AmberSoler
- What is the probability of meeting an alien on the street?
- 50%
- ??????
- Either you will meet one, or you won't! :D

It's a timeless topic - probability theory...

Quoting a post from a neighboring forum from five years ago (authors - Self-seeking, Jerky Fox):

***

The probability of at least one successful outcome in n events is equal to 1-(1-p)^n, where p is the probability of a successful outcome (in our case, p = 0.1).

Number --- Chance to kill an enemy with a gaze
of Gorgons ---1 unit--2 units--3 units--4 units.

01-------10%
02-------19%
05-------41%
10-------65%
11-------68%---30%
15-------79%---45%
20-------88%---61%
21-------89%---63%---35%
25-------93%---73%---46%
30-------96%---81%---59%
31-------96%---83%---61%---37%
40-------98%---92%---77%---57%

Firstly, it should be noted that starting from 10 Magic, you have a 2 out of 3 chance of killing at least one enemy with a gaze. Secondly, while 1 Magic has a 10% chance of killing 1 creature with a gaze, 11 Magic already has a 30% chance of killing 2 enemy units, 21 Magic – a 35% chance of killing 3 units, and 31 Magic – a 37.5% chance of killing 4 creatures.
Hmm... And what formula can be used to find the chance for the 2nd, 3rd, etc. units?
Let's say for 11 Gorgons, the chance of Breath working is 68%, but how did 30% for the second unit come about? What formula was used to calculate, for example, 59% for the third unit with 30 Gorgons?
Please explain, because I don't quite understand it.
Thank you in advance!
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