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Mighty Gorgons

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Offline Dirty_Player
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Posts: 11,094
#7
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heroes13
It's also funny why 0.9^
It's funny because of a lack of basic math knowledge. 0.9 is the chance of the Death Gaze not triggering (1-10%). 0.9^N is the chance that the Death Gaze will not work on N Gorgons. And 1-0.9^N is the chance that it will work on N Gorgons. What math did you study in college?
heroes13
What do I care about your discussions? I'm describing my observations, and I can explain them.
One thing is observations, and another is the math behind the game.
heroes13
Let's take 70 Gorgons. According to your theory, the chance will be 14.27% for one creature, 14.27% for two, and so on. But what do we have in reality? Let's take 70 Gorgons and attack Azure Dragons. Getting -1 and -2 is practically impossible, and -3 and -4 almost always occur.
Read the discussion in full. Here's the table:
Number --- Chance to kill an opponent with Death Gaze
Gorgons --- 1 unit -- 2 units -- 3 units -- 4 units

01 ------- 10%
02 ------- 19%
05 ------- 41%
10 ------- 65%
11 ------- 68% --- 30%
15 ------- 79% --- 45%
20 ------- 88% --- 61%
21 ------- 89% --- 63% --- 35%
25 ------- 93% --- 73% --- 46%
30 ------- 96% --- 81% --- 59%
31 ------- 96% --- 83% --- 61% --- 37%
40 ------- 98% --- 92% --- 77% --- 57%
Here, in the "1 unit" column, it means "1 or more." That is, 40 will kill 1, 2, 3, or 4 with a probability of 98%. And 4 will kill with a probability of 57%.
heroes13
Out of a hundred attacks, -1 or -2 will not occur with a very high probability. Therefore, you can't divide it the way it's done in your example.
You need to read the discussion carefully. My initial numbers were incorrect, and then I admitted that what is written in the table above is correct.
heroes13
in reality, let's take 10 Gorgons and calculate. let's do 10-50-100-200 attacks. 65% was nowhere to be found; it was consistently 80% or more.
Well, of course... This is just a story about morale.
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