Mafia 54. This is where caravans are robbed!

The Mafia hasn't been caught forging the commander's notes, so there's a good chance they're genuine.

I think so too. It's just unclear why the commander is only reacting now; he's probably one of the inactive players who isn't paying attention to the game.

Although, if you think about it, the commander might be asleep, and his notes could belong to the Mafia, then the whole theory falls apart. And in general, this is just questionable speculation, but I'd like to hear opinions on this.

In my opinion, if this note were a fake, the commander should have refuted it somehow, but so far, there's silence.
Therefore, I support Ple's good version - Gura is completely inactive and doesn't seem interested in playing; he's probably a Mafia member.
Execute Gura.