I know what this Mafia is missing – a table. I'll create one now; maybe it will help you understand that you're all noobs.)
Added 20 minutes later
Emperor - Dag, dead
Commander - not Naver
First - not Naver, not Carnicero, not Arandor, not Saba
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth - Lizard, dead
Merchant
Weapons
Mercenaries - Ment, dead
Food - not Naira, not Saba
Smuggling - not Gur, not Nefela, not Naver
King
Spy
Guerrilla - not Naver, not Saba
House 1 - not Nefela, not Naira
House 2 - not Nefela, not Naira
Evil
Hmm, I think I was too hasty in assuming that the table might clarify anything. Besides, it doesn't claim to be absolutely accurate because many neutral roles could theoretically belong to Evil, and the neutral roles of the caravans could also belong to the Fourth.
Added 30 minutes later
I reread the discussions, and nothing became clearer; I'm going to sleep. Count the votes, someone.
To sell my soul