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It simply means that, in theory, you could be someone else, but the probability is so low that it can be ignored until a certain point.
Regarding the modded players: Tox was most likely a member of the Scythes faction – it’s no coincidence that he didn’t want to deal with Menti. The Awe could be a member of the Walkers faction – there was no kill from the Reaper’s team, and the clue points to him as well as it points to me or Wolfgar. These are just my assumptions, but I hope they are correct.
Menti, considering your potential role, you are indeed worse. At least Arika can be blocked.
There’s no one else, Astra is a member of the Mafia here, the Keyholder was killed, and it’s unclear what happened to the Chronicler. The only explanation is that if he was really with Menti and ran into Mafia Astra, he stayed home today; otherwise, he would have definitely tried to do something bad, as there are plenty of suspects.