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Well, it doesn't really matter, because he's not a Witch. Revan was right to say he felt sorry for us, and if we were right about the Witch, he wouldn't have said that. So, he's most likely a Healer, which is a shame.
I'm no longer in doubt that Ara is a Reaper. There's no one else. You can't be a Knight or a Sheriff on the same team as him, can you? So, Ar, thinking that many would join him, used the Hand, and he was half-revealed with the Sheriff. Realizing that a block would be coming, he and his team put a guard on him and deprived the town of a strong role. It all makes sense.
And you're wrong. The Mafia switching to Ar's team is a chance to help the weakened town. It's the best move possible, because one of two things will happen: either the Mafia will betray the old team and start leaking information, or the opposite. INTERNAL CONFLICT.