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I was also asked to share my opinion...
I didn't have time to look at the save files, maybe I'll get around to it later, or maybe I'll just be too lazy, especially since the other participants in the debate have already analyzed them quite thoroughly and convincingly. The level of analysis is quite high, both from the prosecution and the defense.
Therefore, I just read the discussions here and on HP, and I formed an opinion. It is based on Rebel's testimony, his intonation, the arguments he chooses, and his attitude towards the accusers.
I've been playing Mafia a lot in the last year, and it's become a substitute for Heroes for me. And there, I've really honed my skill in spotting suspicious people based purely on psychology. So, players who defend themselves the way Rebel is doing now are usually almost unanimously voted out. Because this is the behavior of a caught Mafia player.
You can see an example of a good response from an "innocent player," for example, in the Markon vs. (I don't remember who) debate. This happened about two years ago; Pete might have something in his archives. Markon's first post convincingly demonstrated that there was nothing for the prosecution to find. Personally, I didn't even feel the need to look at the save files; Markon looked so "innocent."
Also, Pete has a good post a little higher up in the thread, I'm referring to his response to Stizko.
Rebel's posts, on the other hand, are very unconvincing compared to that, and his style is the same as that of cheaters who were caught earlier. Plus, in terms of content, he's struggling to defend himself logically and emotionally, and he's just weakly deflecting with a "you're the idiot" attitude. Yeah, it's a familiar pattern... it was the same in some of the previous cases. Honest people usually defend their honor and dignity in a different way.
Of course, this kind of argument can't be used as evidence, but it's very useful for forming a personal opinion.
