Турниры HeroesWorld Cup & World Cup - 2012

Is this a theoretical postulate?
I have empirical data.
No, it won't add up.

Yes, a theoretical one based on practical observations. I have no desire to dig through other people's saves, anyway this argument is just for fun.
I can speak for myself, as I roughly remember my own games. Quite often I have to make moves blindly, especially on XL templates. Since on them, jumps into the unknown are a necessary measure. For example, yesterday in a game with Vitalik, it was necessary to explore new territories. 2 days of travel and voilà - on day 137, the only native Castle on the map is captured, located at a strategically important crossroads.
In the same way, I could have stumbled upon a beehive cluster, a Dragon Utopia, a Griffin Conservatory, necessary artifacts, etc... Or I might not have stumbled upon them... And such moments occur in almost every game - you guessed the direction at the start, and there are two Griffin Conservatories, you ran through with a folder for splitting - and there's a stack of horses... But there will inevitably be a percentage of failures as well.