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Here's an argument from the other side.
Arandor, Lordi, and Siever. They have three peaceful roles each, and Arko has only two. All three of them can't be peaceful; I don't believe it.
Therefore, one of them is very likely the Mafia.
Siever is doing a good job staying strong; I'll throw my vote at whoever tries to lynch him.
And if I have to choose between Lordi and Arko, I'll definitely choose Arandor.
Added 1 minute ago
naive. you'll be left without Jack, and you won't be able to use him.
See? He's trying to scare the town again by pointing out the "flaws" in my plan.
Dear Arko, do you really think I didn't anticipate that?
Jack will have time to complete his mission tonight, and that will be a win. And if he dies, we'll immediately lynch the Mafia, because he will become useless.