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Just a few thoughts out loud:
Tox is too quiet; he's just leaving clues. It doesn't seem like his usual style. Is he fixing something, or...?
I don't remember Vishmaster being involved; maybe I missed something? But I'd vote for him as one of the first to be executed for his passivity.
Arandor/Mon. The first one will definitely die at night. RIP. I wouldn't rush to accuse Mon, although she did force Ment (if it's Ment?) to reveal himself. But we can compare her to Arandor. Then, with a dead, revealed Arko, we'll know about Mon. Although, honestly, I don't believe she's a Mafia member trying to frame a Townie. That would be too silly.
P.S.: arandor-blue
