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Yes, I took that idea from your post. It still doesn't contradict my theory.
Lynx – envy, blocked by Olivia, and didn't kill.
Payley – unclear who, beaten by greed, and blocked by the general.
Death of the Lizard – Mana's work.
Immortality of greed – work of the Town Guard. Why am I sure it's the Town Guard? First, one shot, no mention of the attacker. It perfectly fits the work of the same Town Guard sniper. Second, no giggling or deceptive tricks, which the GM uses to indicate the work of a werewolf.