Let's go with Paely or Lynx, whoever you dislike more. Because an attentive player can't miss the fact that there was no murder by the Mafia. If I were in the Mafia's shoes, I would continue to use Envy as the least useful role, especially since there's only one of them, and that one clue remains unsolved.
Of course, there's a chance that the Mafia was also going to kill Lizard, but what are the odds? One in twelve?