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Okay. Let's assume that:
Slonysh Filin (a silk kimono suits him better), Liz was a Town member, and tonight Cobra simply bluffed and killed Slonysh. Then the Mafia has Papa (who Carlito should eliminate), Zhallo, and possibly one more recruited member (maybe 2, but that's a stretch).
Then, the next night will be:
Cobra's suicide, Zhallo's murder, ideally Papa's death by Carlito, and the action of the converted player, plus another attempt at conversion.