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No, the numbers don't add up.
I have another plan. It seems we have 2 Mafia members and 2 Town members. Today, we won't lynch Lizard; instead, let a Town member investigate him at night. Then we'll see how the kills go.
Today, we're lynching Ment. Yes, he's Mafia, 100% Mafia. We only have the Sheriff and 2 Mafia members left. When the Sheriff was killed, there was a clue, but we can't link it to Ment, so he's not the Sheriff, which means he's Mafia.