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Sorry, Dirty, I wasn't paying close enough attention (or remembering correctly), which is why I came back to the question.
"87.8% chance to eliminate 1 to 3 creatures. That is:
29.26% chance to kill 1 creature,
29.26% chance to kill 2 creatures
29.26% chance to kill 3 creatures."
I was too hasty when I said 100% - it's less, but still much closer to 1 (100%) than to zero. But in battle, you don't calculate the probability of a particular amount of damage in detail on each turn - you just roughly estimate. That is, a 10% probability is a chance, and a 90% probability is almost a guarantee that you can rely on. That's why I figured that a stack of Gorgons would almost certainly destroy the enemy unit, and if we take into account your calculation (with an equal probability of 1, 2, or 3 units), then I could very well have relied on the average value - 2 units (1 unit - 100%). The actual range could be different - 3, 2, 1, or 0 units, which I also noted.
You're right to write out mathematical calculations. It's just that we have slightly different approaches to analyzing things. Everything complex often has a very simple explanation or solution. And I usually try to find that simple one. Because truth is born in debate. And sometimes it can be very interesting.
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P.S. In the previous post, I wrote for a stack of 10 Gorgons, "the stack may not eliminate anyone, it may eliminate 2 enemies, etc., but on average it will be 1." That is, the chance of each of the three options will be approximately 33%. I did the calculation using your formulas and got: 1 or 2 enemies - 65% / 2 = 32.5% each, none - 35%, in practice, this means equally likely. How did I manage to guess that?
"87.8% chance to eliminate 1 to 3 creatures. That is:
29.26% chance to kill 1 creature,
29.26% chance to kill 2 creatures
29.26% chance to kill 3 creatures."
I was too hasty when I said 100% - it's less, but still much closer to 1 (100%) than to zero. But in battle, you don't calculate the probability of a particular amount of damage in detail on each turn - you just roughly estimate. That is, a 10% probability is a chance, and a 90% probability is almost a guarantee that you can rely on. That's why I figured that a stack of Gorgons would almost certainly destroy the enemy unit, and if we take into account your calculation (with an equal probability of 1, 2, or 3 units), then I could very well have relied on the average value - 2 units (1 unit - 100%). The actual range could be different - 3, 2, 1, or 0 units, which I also noted.
You're right to write out mathematical calculations. It's just that we have slightly different approaches to analyzing things. Everything complex often has a very simple explanation or solution. And I usually try to find that simple one. Because truth is born in debate. And sometimes it can be very interesting.
--------------
P.S. In the previous post, I wrote for a stack of 10 Gorgons, "the stack may not eliminate anyone, it may eliminate 2 enemies, etc., but on average it will be 1." That is, the chance of each of the three options will be approximately 33%. I did the calculation using your formulas and got: 1 or 2 enemies - 65% / 2 = 32.5% each, none - 35%, in practice, this means equally likely. How did I manage to guess that?
