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Мафия 32. Asylum

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#772
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Князь_OMEGA
Gil, with all due respect, half the town (or just the players) are constantly yelling that an alliance with the "Hive" is dangerous and they are against it. Yes, I am interested in the possibility of a draw, but if the town is being deceived, we will simply be torn to pieces, and, sorry, but the alliance is with unstable "Hive" members. Although the town is currently at peace with the "Hive", I don't really want to sacrifice Vissi right away.
For now, while there is time, I suggest we decipher the clue from Beno. For some reason, I suspect Lorelei is involved, but this is just an intuition for now; we need to investigate.
The problem is that on the first day, they were shouting about the danger and potential deception, but no one said, "even if you help, I won't accept this help, don't expect gratitude." Warning about this would have been an act of honor for those who were so strongly opposed. As a result, it's "thanks guys, you did what you did, we didn't agree on anything" (Reinhard, I'm not specifically talking about you, it's just that your phrase "did what you did" accurately reflects the general mood of the town).
And it seems the town is being deceived? By providing another doctor for execution, while simultaneously attacking another doctor with "Gebephrenia"? And this is after the town actively opposed the alliance yesterday, almost aggressively? And after the previous nights? The town is being handed victory on a silver platter, but with the hope of mutual understanding, and this platter is snatched away with incredible audacity, as if that's exactly what should happen.

Want to know how we will be torn to pieces now? :) I'll explain it to you, at least you are trying to understand me. You see, and you don't just look.
Beno is using "Sexual Disorder" on our Pharmacist, who managed to expose himself. I won't explain how he exposed himself, as this could reveal his identity (unlikely, but just in case you didn't understand). Even if Beno is found now, he will be saved from execution. Let's assume that he is actually found (I doubt it, given only one clue - this has always been a big problem for us). And then what? A guessing game with the Pharmacist? With Neira blocked last night, do you expect the Pharmacist to reasonably predict the "Hive's" moves and block the right person?
In other words, there are two options.
1. Beno recruits the Pharmacist, while Radonar or Reina kill the doctor. At the same time, the recruited doctor-killer kills someone from the town (they don't need to attack the "Hive" now with their daytime executions; they will simply be eliminated - there is only a small chance of victory when the "Hive" executes and the town kills). In the next night, there will be one less town member, and they won't even have to act directly.
2. Rodfilg redirects the evil doctor-killer to the right town target, and someone else from the remaining roles kills (probably a town member). As I said, I don't have much hope for victory in a guessing game involving the Pharmacist's block.

In the best-case scenario, after the night, without an alliance, there will be 6/4/2. In the worst case - 5/4/1. The future prospects with the ability to silence and immunity are clear, right?
I would have gladly explained everything yesterday, but then there were more than 30 possible scenarios, in almost every one of which (there were scenarios where the "Hive" and the evil roles kill each other, but do you really believe in fairy tales?) the town would lose. Now everything is much more specific, there are fewer options, and the town's defeat without an alliance is guaranteed.

Omega, you have been one of the few throughout the game who has objectively assessed all situations. Don't close your eyes now, this is no longer just "all 25 of Gil's posts are baseless nonsense."

Vish, do you really think that a recruited member is not exposed? With such obvious behavior from the entire evil mafia? If not everyone believes in psychoanalysis and the possibility of its correct use, that doesn't mean that psychoanalysis is not used by anyone at all. And it doesn't mean that there aren't those who know how to use it effectively. Besides, we identified the recruited member on night 3. There were only 2 possible roles, so it was easy to find him based on his status. Think about it, because you can look at facts objectively.



Even if we fight, even if there’s such thing
I will not give up
Just like this, I won't let go
Strongly grasping your right hand’s warmth
I’ll be here