Mafia 31. Twilight Dances.

You need to know a person well to deduce who wrote such notes based on their analysis. As if everyone else makes stupid moves. For everyone else, the situation with her is 50/50 because they can only trust the status (who verified it) and the protection. They have to believe everything else, and that's not very safe.

And I do know her well. Moreover, if I didn't understand that things aren't so simple for everyone else, I would be asking Lisa to simply believe me right now - but am I doing that? No. But now you understand that if I hadn't convinced some players to execute Rimpel, it would have been much worse, right? The necessary peaceful players wouldn't have been identified, the Mafia's murder would have succeeded because their goal wouldn't have been so predictable, and the score would have been 6/8 with Halfmoon - and that's a loss.
Regarding stupid moves, there can be many reasons. For example, a novice is in a leadership position, TaKo is inactive (I'm not saying that's what happened, so don't be offended - it's just a guess), etc.

Added 2 minutes later

Who told you that this note is from an advisor?

Peaceful roles cannot be determined because not every player knows the true statuses...

Sincerely,
Gur

Common sense told me.
Peaceful roles can be easily determined without knowing even a single status - I state this with full responsibility. There are doubts about some points, but this does not change the fact that the overall picture is clear. Moreover, let's say you realize that Morny is a guaranteed peaceful player? You should. And you don't necessarily need to know his role for that, right?

Sincerely,
Gil